Figure : observed-and-projected-temperature-change-nc

Observed and Projected Temperature Change

Figure 33.1

North Carolina State University
Laura Stevens

This figure appears in chapter 33 of the NOAA-led State Summaries 2019 report.

Observed and projected changes (compared to the 1901–1960 average) in near-surface air temperature for North Carolina. Observed data are for 1900–2018. Projected changes for 2006–2100 are from global climate models for two possible futures: one in which greenhouse gas emissions continue to increase (higher emissions) and another in which greenhouse gas emissions increase at a slower rate (lower emissions)1>. Temperatures in North Carolina (orange line) have risen almost 1°F since the beginning of the 20th century. Shading indicates the range of annual temperatures from the set of models. Observed temperatures are generally within the envelope of model simulations of the historical period (gray shading). Historically unprecedented warming is projected during the 21st century. Less warming is expected under a lower emissions future (the coldest years being about as warm as the hottest year in the historical record; green shading) and more warming under a higher emissions future (the hottest years being about 10°F warmer than the hottest year in the historical record; red shading). Source: CICS-NC and NOAA NCEI.

1Technical details on models and projections are provided in an appendix, available online at https://statesummaries.ncics.org/pdfs/TechInfo.pdf

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The time range for this figure is January 01, 1900 (00:00 AM) to December 31, 2100 (00:00 AM).

This figure was created on February 26, 2019.

This figure was submitted on June 03, 2019.

Provenance
This figure replaces figure 33.1: Observed and Projected Temperature Change


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