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Figure : oh-observed-and-projected-temperature-change-2019
Observed and Projected Temperature Change
Figure 35.1North Carolina State University
Kenneth E. Kunkel
Figure 1: Observed and projected changes (compared to the 1901–1960 average) in near-surface air temperature for Ohio. Observed data are for 1900–2018. Projected changes for 2006–2100 are from global climate models for two possible futures: one in which greenhouse gas emissions continue to increase (higher emissions) and another in which greenhouse gas emissions increase at slower rate (lower emissions)1. Temperatures in Ohio (orange line) have risen 1.5°F since 1900. Shading indicates the range of annual temperatures from the set of models. Observed temperatures are generally within the envelope of model simulations of the historical period (gray shading). Historically unprecedented warming is projected to continue through the 21st century. Less warming is expected under a lower emissions future (the coldest years being about 1°F cooler than the hottest year in the historical record; green shading) and more warming under a higher emissions future (the hottest years being about 11°F warmer than the hottest year in the historical record; red shading). Source: CICS-NC and NOAA NCEI.
1 Technical details on models and projections are provided in an appendix, available online at https://statesummaries.ncics.org/pdfs/TechInfo.pdf.
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This figure was created on April 18, 2019.
This figure was submitted on October 01, 2019.
ProvenanceThis figure replaces figure 35.1: Observed and Projected Temperature Change
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