Figure : fig--11-8

The Effects of Two Climate Scenarios and Two Management Scenarios for a Subregion of Alaska

Figure 11.8

This figure appears in chapter 11 of the Second State of the Carbon Cycle Report (SOCCR2): A Sustained Assessment Report report.

Cumulative area burned is modeled for the historical (1950 to 2009) and projected (2010 to 2100) periods for the Upper Tanana Hydrological Basin in interior Alaska near Fairbanks. Model results are presented for scenarios of fire management plan options (FMPO) driven by two Earth System Models: Meteorological Research Institute Coupled Global Climate Model version 3 (MRI-CGCM3) and National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Climate System Model version 4 (NCAR-CCSM4) using the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5 “businessas- usual” emissions scenario. Data presented are means, and shading indicates results from 200 model replicates; black dashed line is the actual fire record through 2010. [Figure source: Redrawn from Breen et al., 2016; Schuur et al., 2016, used with permission.]

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This figure was created on February 05, 2018.

This figure was submitted on February 11, 2019.

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