Figure : figure-19-9

Projected Decadal Median Net Land Carbon Sink for North America Based on Four Future Scenarios

Figure 19.4

Northern Arizona University
Deborah N. Huntzinger

This figure appears in chapter 19 of the Second State of the Carbon Cycle Report (SOCCR2): A Sustained Assessment Report report.

(a–d) Projected decadal median land carbon sink in grams of carbon (g C) for North America from 2090 to 2099 under each Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenario: (a) RCP2.6, (b) RCP4.5, (c) RCP6.0, and (d) RCP8.5. (e–h) The difference between the projected net sink for each RCP and the 2000 to 2009 historic baseline, with red (negative) representing areas where the projected strength of the net sink is weaker than the historic baseline, and blue (positive) indicating areas where net carbon uptake is projected to increase compared to historic conditions. The number of models varies across RCP based on availability. RCP2.6 models were CanESM2, HadGEM2– ES, MIROC-ESM, MPI–ESM–LR, and NorESM1–ME. RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 models were CanESM2, GFDL-ESM2G, GFDL-ESM2M, HadGEM2–ES, IPSL–CM5A-LR, MIROC-ESM, MPI–ESM–LR, NorESM1–ME, and INMCM4. RCP6.0 models were HadGEM2–ES, MIROC-ESM, and NorESM1–ME. All models used are consistent with those from Ch. 6 of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fifth Assessment Report (Ciais et al., 2013).

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This figure was created on January 03, 2017.

This figure was submitted on March 15, 2019.

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