---
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caption: "(a–d) Projected decadal median land carbon sink in grams of carbon (g C) for North America from 2090 to\r\n2099 under each Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenario: (a) RCP2.6, (b) RCP4.5, (c) RCP6.0, and\r\n(d) RCP8.5. (e–h) The difference between the projected net sink for each RCP and the 2000 to 2009 historic baseline,\r\nwith red (negative) representing areas where the projected strength of the net sink is weaker than the historic baseline,\r\nand blue (positive) indicating areas where net carbon uptake is projected to increase compared to historic conditions.\r\nThe number of models varies across RCP based on availability. RCP2.6 models were CanESM2, HadGEM2–\r\nES, MIROC-ESM, MPI–ESM–LR, and NorESM1–ME. RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 models were CanESM2, GFDL-ESM2G,\r\nGFDL-ESM2M, HadGEM2–ES, IPSL–CM5A-LR, MIROC-ESM, MPI–ESM–LR, NorESM1–ME, and INMCM4. RCP6.0\r\nmodels were HadGEM2–ES, MIROC-ESM, and NorESM1–ME. All models used are consistent with those from Ch. 6\r\nof the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fifth Assessment Report (Ciais et al., 2013)."
chapter:
  doi: 10.7930/SOCCR2.2018.Ch19
  identifier: future-of-the-north-american-carbon-cycle
  number: 19
  report_identifier: second-state-carbon-cycle-report-soccr2-sustained-assessment-report
  sort_key: 190
  title: Future of the North American Carbon Cycle
  url: https://carbon2018.globalchange.gov/chapter/19/
chapter_identifier: future-of-the-north-american-carbon-cycle
cited_by: []
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    organization:
      country_code: US
      identifier: northern-arizona-university
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      name: Northern Arizona University
      organization_type_identifier: academic
      url: http://nau.edu/
    organization_uri: /organization/northern-arizona-university
    person:
      first_name: Deborah N.
      id: 2452
      last_name: Huntzinger
      middle_name: ~
      orcid: 0000-0003-2998-099X
      url: https://www2.nau.edu/huntzingerlab/
    person_id: 2452
    person_uri: /person/2452
    role_type_identifier: point_of_contact
    uri: /contributor/34016
create_dt: 2017-01-03T19:44:48
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ordinal: 4
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report_identifier: second-state-carbon-cycle-report-soccr2-sustained-assessment-report
source_citation: ~
submission_dt: 2019-03-15T13:34:56
time_end: ~
time_start: ~
title: Projected Decadal Median Net Land Carbon Sink for North America Based on Four Future Scenarios
uri: /report/second-state-carbon-cycle-report-soccr2-sustained-assessment-report/chapter/future-of-the-north-american-carbon-cycle/figure/figure-19-9
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usage_limits: Figure may be copyright protected and permission may be required. Contact original figure source for information