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Figure : change-variability-crop-economic-model-projections-2050
Change and variability of crop and economic model projections for 2050
This figure appears in chapter 4 of the Climate Change Global Food Security and the U.S. Food System report.
In 2050, lower average yields under climate change, either with (YTOT) or without (YEXO) climate adaptation management measures, result in higher prices (PRICE) for most agricultural commodities, in spite of increased land area under production (AREA). Adaptation measures reduce climate impacts on yields (YEXO vs. YTOT), while global production (PROD), consumption (CONS), and trade (TRSH) are not projected to dramatically change. Significant variability results from the study spanning nine models, four crop aggregates, seven crop models and socioeconomic scenarios, and 13 regions.
When citing this figure, please reference Nelson and Valin et al. 2014.
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