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Figure : climate-change-effects-under-different-ssps-rcps
Climate-change effects under different SSPs and RCPs
This figure appears in chapter 4 of the Climate Change Global Food Security and the U.S. Food System report.
The “high-concentration/low-international cooperation” scenario (RCP 8.5/SSP3) shows much larger and more variable climate-change effects for the five commodities (coarse grains, rice, wheat, oilseeds, and sugar), with a more pessimistic development pathway, than the “medium-concentration/ middle-of-the-road” (RCP 6.0/SSP2) and “low-concentration/sustainable-development” (RCP 4.5/SSP1) scenarios. Results are from three GCMs and five economic models, aggregated across 13 regions (n = 75). YEXO = yield effect of climate change without technical or economic adaptation, YTOT = realized yields after adaptation, AREA = agricultural area in production, PROD = total production, CONS = consumption, Expo = exports, IMPO = imports, PRICE = prices.
When citing this figure, please reference Wiebe et al. 2015.
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