--- - attributes: ~ caption: 'Major U.S. national and regional climate trends. Shaded areas are the U.S. regions defined in the 2014 NCA.dd5b893d-4462-4bb3-9205-67b532919566,bfc00315-ccea-4e7c-8a05-2650a07e4252' chapter_identifier: climate-change-and-human-health create_dt: 2014-11-25T01:00:00 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/climate-change-and-human-health/figure/major-us-climate-trends.yaml identifier: major-us-climate-trends lat_max: 49.38 lat_min: 24.50 lon_max: -66.95 lon_min: -124.8 ordinal: 1 report_identifier: usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016 source_citation: ~ submission_dt: ~ time_end: ~ time_start: ~ title: Major U.S. Climate Trends uri: /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/climate-change-and-human-health/figure/major-us-climate-trends url: ~ usage_limits: Free to use with credit to the original figure source. - attributes: ~ caption: 'Time series of 5-year averages of the number of extreme 2-day duration precipitation events, averaged over the United States from 1900 to 2014. The number is expressed as the percent difference from the average for the entire period. This is based on 726 stations that have precipitation data for at least 90% of the days in the period. An event is considered extreme if the precipitation amount exceeds a threshold for a once-per-year recurrence. (Figure source: adapted from Mellilo et al. 2014)dd5b893d-4462-4bb3-9205-67b532919566' chapter_identifier: climate-change-and-human-health create_dt: 2014-10-29T08:35:00 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/climate-change-and-human-health/figure/change-in-number-of-extreme-precipitation-events.yaml identifier: change-in-number-of-extreme-precipitation-events lat_max: 49.38 lat_min: 24.50 lon_max: -66.95 lon_min: -124.80 ordinal: 2 report_identifier: usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016 source_citation: ~ submission_dt: ~ time_end: 2014-12-31T23:59:59 time_start: 1900-01-01T00:00:00 title: Change in Number of Extreme Precipitation Events uri: /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/climate-change-and-human-health/figure/change-in-number-of-extreme-precipitation-events url: ~ usage_limits: Copyright protected. Obtain permission from the original figure source. - attributes: ~ caption: 'Projected changes in annual average temperature (top) and precipitation (bottom) for 2021–2050 (left) and 2041–2070 (right) with respect to the average for 1971­–2000 for the RCP6.0 scenario. The RCP6.0 pathway projects an average global temperature increase of 5.2°F in 2100 over the 1901–1960 global average temperature (the RCPs are described in more detail in Appendix 1: Technical Support Document). Temperature increases in the United States for this scenario (top panels) are in the 2°F to 3°F range for 2021 to 2050 and 2°F to 4°F for 2041­ to 2070. This means that the increase in temperature projected in the United States over the next 50 years under this scenario would be larger than the 1°F to 2°F increase in temperature that has already been observed over the previous century. Precipitation is projected to decrease in the Southwest and increase in the Northeast (bottom panels). These projected changes are statistically significant (95% confidence) in small portions of the Northeast, as indicated by the hatching. (Figure source: adapted from Sun et al. 2015)b63c9720-f770-4718-89cc-53b3616e2bec' chapter_identifier: climate-change-and-human-health create_dt: 2014-07-21T12:51:00 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/climate-change-and-human-health/figure/projected-changes-in-temperature-and-precipitation-by-mid-century.yaml identifier: projected-changes-in-temperature-and-precipitation-by-mid-century lat_max: 49.38 lat_min: 24.50 lon_max: -66.95 lon_min: -124.80 ordinal: 3 report_identifier: usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016 source_citation: ~ submission_dt: ~ time_end: 2070-12-31T23:59:59 time_start: 2021-01-01T00:00:00 title: Projected Changes in Temperature and Precipitation by Mid-Century uri: /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/climate-change-and-human-health/figure/projected-changes-in-temperature-and-precipitation-by-mid-century url: ~ usage_limits: Copyright protected. Obtain permission from the original figure source. - attributes: ~ caption: 'Projected changes in several climate variables for 2046–2065 with respect to the 1981–2000 average for the RCP6.0 scenario. These include the coldest night of the year (top left) and the hottest day of the year (top right). By the middle of this century, the coldest night of the year is projected to warm by 6°F to 10°F over most of the country, with slightly smaller changes in the south. The warmest day of the year is projected to be 4°F to 6°F warmer in most areas. Also shown above are projections of the wettest day of the year (bottom left) and the annual longest consecutive dry day spell (bottom right). Extreme precipitation is projected to increase, with an average change of 5% to 15% in the precipitation falling on the wettest day of the year. The length of the annual longest dry spell is projected to increase in most areas, but these changes are small: less than two days in most areas. (Figure source: adapted from Sun et al. 2015)b63c9720-f770-4718-89cc-53b3616e2bec' chapter_identifier: climate-change-and-human-health create_dt: 2014-07-21T12:51:00 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/climate-change-and-human-health/figure/projected-changes-in-hottest-coldest-and-wettest-driest-day-of-the-year.yaml identifier: projected-changes-in-hottest-coldest-and-wettest-driest-day-of-the-year lat_max: 49.38 lat_min: 24.50 lon_max: -66.95 lon_min: -124.80 ordinal: 4 report_identifier: usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016 source_citation: ~ submission_dt: ~ time_end: 2065-12-31T23:59:59 time_start: 1981-01-01T00:00:00 title: Projected Changes in Hottest/Coldest and Wettest/Driest Day of the Year uri: /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/climate-change-and-human-health/figure/projected-changes-in-hottest-coldest-and-wettest-driest-day-of-the-year url: ~ usage_limits: Copyright protected. Obtain permission from the original figure source. - attributes: ~ caption: 'Conceptual diagram illustrating the exposure pathways by which climate change affects human health. Exposure pathways exist within the context of other factors that positively or negatively influence health outcomes (gray side boxes). Key factors that influence vulnerability for individuals are shown in the right box, and include social determinants of health and behavioral choices. Key factors that influence vulnerability at larger scales, such as natural and built environments, governance and management, and institutions, are shown in the left box. All of these influencing factors can affect an individual’s or a community’s vulnerability through changes in exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity and may also be affected by climate change.' chapter_identifier: climate-change-and-human-health create_dt: 2014-10-10T10:00:00 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/climate-change-and-human-health/figure/climate-change-and-health.yaml identifier: climate-change-and-health lat_max: ~ lat_min: ~ lon_max: ~ lon_min: ~ ordinal: 5 report_identifier: usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016 source_citation: ~ submission_dt: ~ time_end: ~ time_start: ~ title: Climate Change and Health uri: /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/climate-change-and-human-health/figure/climate-change-and-health url: ~ usage_limits: Free to use with credit to the original figure source. - attributes: ~ caption: Examples of sources of uncertainty in projecting impacts of climate change on human health. The left column illustrates the exposure pathway through which climate change can affect human health. The right column lists examples of key sources of uncertainty surrounding effects of climate change at each stage along the exposure pathway. chapter_identifier: climate-change-and-human-health create_dt: 2015-08-24T11:20:00 href: https://data.globalchange.gov/report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/climate-change-and-human-health/figure/sources-of-uncertainty.yaml identifier: sources-of-uncertainty lat_max: ~ lat_min: ~ lon_max: ~ lon_min: ~ ordinal: 6 report_identifier: usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016 source_citation: ~ submission_dt: ~ time_end: ~ time_start: ~ title: Sources of Uncertainty uri: /report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/climate-change-and-human-health/figure/sources-of-uncertainty url: ~ usage_limits: ~