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@prefix dcterms: <http://purl.org/dc/terms/> .
@prefix xsd: <http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#> .
@prefix gcis: <http://data.globalchange.gov/gcis.owl#> .
@prefix cito: <http://purl.org/spar/cito/> .
@prefix biro: <http://purl.org/spar/biro/> .

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/vectorborne-diseases/finding/changing-distributions-vectors-vectorborne-diseases>
   dcterms:identifier "changing-distributions-vectors-vectorborne-diseases";
   gcis:findingNumber "5.1"^^xsd:string;
   gcis:findingStatement "Climate change is expected to alter the geographic and seasonal distributions of existing vectors and  vecto-rborne diseases [Likely, High Confidence]."^^xsd:string;
   gcis:isFindingOf <https://data.globalchange.gov/report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/vectorborne-diseases>;
   gcis:isFindingOf <https://data.globalchange.gov/report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016>;

## Properties of the finding:
   gcis:findingProcess "The chapter was developed through technical discussions of relevant evidence and expert deliberation by the report authors at several workshops, teleconferences, and email exchanges. The authors considered inputs and comments submitted by the public, the National Academies of Sciences, and Federal agencies. For additional information on the overall report process, see <a href=\"https://health2016.globalchange.gov/node/103/\">Appendices 2</a> and <a href=\"https://health2016.globalchange.gov/node/104\">3</a>. <br/><br/>The approach and organization of this chapter was decided after conducting a comprehensive literature review. Two case studies, Lyme disease and West Nile virus, were chosen as representative examples of vector-borne diseases in the United States for this chapter because of their high incidence rates and the body of literature available on the association between climatic and meteorological variables and occurrence of these diseases. <br/><br/> Regarding human outcomes related to vector-borne diseases, there is a much greater volume of published literature available on meteorological and climatic influences on vectors. As a result, our certainty in how climate change is likely to influence the vectors far exceeds our certainty in how changing climatic conditions are likely to affect when, where, and how many cases of vector-borne diseases are likely to occur. <br/><br/> Although the topic of zoonotic diseases was included in the original prospectus, it was later removed due to space constraints. Additionally, since both West Nile virus infection and Lyme disease are zoonotic diseases, these case studies address concepts that are common to both vector-borne and zoonotic diseases."^^xsd:string;
   
   gcis:descriptionOfEvidenceBase "Vector-borne diseases result from complex interactions involving vectors, reservoirs, humans, and both climate and non-climate factors. Numerous studies explain how climate variables influence the relationships between vectors, animal reservoirs, humans, and other non-climate factors to ultimately influence the spatial and temporal distribution of vector-borne disease."^^xsd:string;
   
   gcis:assessmentOfConfidenceBasedOnEvidence "Based on the evidence that climate change will influence the temporal and spatial distributions of vectors, pathogens, and animal reservoirs, there is <b>high confidence</b> that climate change is <b>likely</b> to alter the geographic and seasonal distributions of vectors and vector-borne diseases."^^xsd:string;
   
   gcis:newInformationAndRemainingUncertainties "It is certain that climate change will alter the geographic and seasonal distribution of existing vectors, pathogens, and reservoirs; the influence of climate change on the timing, prevalence, and location of specific vector-borne disease outbreaks is likely to vary depending on the influence of other significant non-climate drivers of disease occurrence."^^xsd:string;

   a gcis:Finding .

## This finding cites the following entities:


<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/vectorborne-diseases/finding/changing-distributions-vectors-vectorborne-diseases>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/article/10.2307/3435012>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/0cdb219f-c600-4fbf-b4c6-2d89f77d2868>.

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/vectorborne-diseases/finding/changing-distributions-vectors-vectorborne-diseases>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/article/10.1289/ehp.6052>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/2471c8e7-348f-40c2-9a28-0d46d3d1f1df>.

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/vectorborne-diseases/finding/changing-distributions-vectors-vectorborne-diseases>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/article/10.3376/1081-1710(2007)32%5B22:CALCFP%5D2.0.CO;2>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/68125763-fcdc-4e32-81d2-a42e88a85a31>.

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/vectorborne-diseases/finding/changing-distributions-vectors-vectorborne-diseases>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/article/10.1111/j.1466-8238.2010.00526.x>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/77f948ec-3f41-4367-a120-6096a78706f5>.

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/vectorborne-diseases/finding/changing-distributions-vectors-vectorborne-diseases>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/article/10.1093/jmedent/32.5.636>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/8fdde45b-cdd1-49de-b74f-966c15770b2d>.

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/vectorborne-diseases/finding/changing-distributions-vectors-vectorborne-diseases>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/article/10.1603/me10246>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/945868ae-7a42-4c03-aecf-42d9f4b39a65>.

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/vectorborne-diseases/finding/changing-distributions-vectors-vectorborne-diseases>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/article/10.3376/1081-1710(2008)33%5B89:iocvom%5D2.0.co;2>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/c3fa0d45-e602-4539-b0d8-98516bcee406>.

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/vectorborne-diseases/finding/changing-distributions-vectors-vectorborne-diseases>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/article/10.1016/j.amepre.2008.08.030>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/cc7c424e-b684-414f-8896-af2d2fee05b6>.

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/vectorborne-diseases/finding/changing-distributions-vectors-vectorborne-diseases>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/article/10.1073/pnas.1307135110>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/d8fa9745-f20f-4681-8eec-586cc6b8d369>.

<https://data.globalchange.gov/report/usgcrp-climate-human-health-assessment-2016/chapter/vectorborne-diseases/finding/changing-distributions-vectors-vectorborne-diseases>
   cito:cites <https://data.globalchange.gov/article/pmc-124090>;
   biro:references <https://data.globalchange.gov/reference/eb0e35fc-5e5e-4df4-900c-b85fc4f26d28>.