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Figure : successfully-predicting-large-2015-2016-el-nino
Successfully Predicting the Large 2015/2016 El Niño
This figure appears in chapter 2 of the Our Changing Planet: The U.S. Global Change Research Program for Fiscal Year 2017 report.
Forecast of the NINO3.4 index made by members of the North American Multi-Model Ensemble in June 2015. Individual model forecasts are indicated by colored lines; the ensemble average is the black dotted line. The NINO3.4 index is the sea-surface temperature anomaly (departure from average) in degrees centigrade (C), averaged across the region between +/- 5 degrees latitude and 170W to 120W longitude. An El Niño event is typically defined as the NINO3.4 index exceeding 0.4 C for a period of six months or more.
When citing this figure, please reference NOAA.
The time range for this figure is January 07, 2015 (00:00 AM) to January 02, 2016 (00:00 AM).
The spatial range for this figure is -5S° to 5N° latitude, and 170W° to 120W° longitude.
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