Figure 2.8

This figure appears in chapter 2 of the Our Changing Planet: The U.S. Global Change Research Program for Fiscal Year 2017 report.

Forecast of the NINO3.4 index made by members of the North American Multi-Model Ensemble in June 2015. Individual model forecasts are indicated by colored lines; the ensemble average is the black dotted line. The NINO3.4 index is the sea-surface temperature anomaly (departure from average) in degrees centigrade (C), averaged across the region between +/- 5 degrees latitude and 170W to 120W longitude. An El Niño event is typically defined as the NINO3.4 index exceeding 0.4 C for a period of six months or more.

When citing this figure, please reference NOAA.

Public domain

The time range for this figure is January 07, 2015 (00:00 AM) to January 02, 2016 (00:00 AM).

The spatial range for this figure is -5S° to 5N° latitude, and 170W° to 120W° longitude.