Figure : providing-climate-science-foundation-fourth-national-climate-assessment

Providing the climate science foundation for the Fourth National Climate Assessment

Figure 5.1


This figure appears in chapter 5 of the Our Changing Planet: The U.S. Global Change Research Program for Fiscal Years 2018-2019 report.

The top panel shows observed and reconstructed global mean (average) sea level for the last 2,500 years. The bottom panel shows projected mean sea level for six future climate change scenarios. The six scenarios--spanning a range designed to inform a variety of decisions--extend from a low scenario, consistent with continuation of the rate of sea level rise over the last quarter century, to an extreme scenario, assuming rapid mass loss from the Antarctic ice sheet. Note that the range on the vertical axis in the bottom graph is approximately ten times greater than in the top graph. Source: Climate Science Special Report Executive Summary, Figure 8, based on Figures 12.2 and 12.4 in Chapter 12 of the full report.

When citing this figure, please reference USGCRP, 2017: Climate Science Special Report: Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume I [Wuebbles, D.J., D.W. Fahey, K.A. Hibbard, D.J. Dokken, B.C. Stewart, and T.K. Maycock (eds.)]. U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, USA, 470 pp..

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